Large amounts of oil are unlikely to reach Texas because that is just the way that the currents in that region go. The currents around the spill send it directly north to the states like Louisiana, Florida, Mississippi, and Alabama, and then east. A little oil will no doubt be caught in a current that sends it to Texas, but the majority will be dispersed elsewhere. Louisiana looks like it is going to be hit the worst by the spill because the currents carry it to the shore, and hurricanes will no doubt play a major factor in transferring the oil. Florida is also going to get hit hard because they have such a long exposed coastline.
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