The Marxist theory of war states that all modern wars are caused by competition for resources and markets between great (imperialist) powers. These wars are a natural progression of the free market and class system, and will only disappear once a world revolution has occurred.
Currently, of the three potential causes you have listed, oil seems the most likely to be the cause of wars in the future (depending on how you look at our current war).
Most likely oil. It has such a huge impact on the economy, and our country has major political ties to oil. We have already faced issues in regards to oil, so it is not unlikely that one day it will lead to a full blown war.
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