I believe it is a likely possibility that there will be another spill as large as the BP oil spill in the near future. As long as humans continue to rely on oil as a source of fuel, there will always be a possiblity for human error surrounding its extraction and handling (and therefore a chance of a large oil spill). Human error was behind the spill, and even if regulations have been increased since then, it is always possible for them to be ignored or forgotten.
“Ever” is a long time, long enough to practically guarantee that the answer to your question is “yes.” Because the only places where oil can still be discovered in significant quantities are in difficult, expensive areas like the deep water, when accidents do occur they will be more complicated and difficult to contain, as we learned last summer.
Having said that, at least 3,000,000 wells have been drilled in the US alone – and the number that have resulted in significant environmental damage is vanishingly small. The likelihood of another problem comparable to last summer’s is low, but not zero.
An oil spill such as the BP spill or the Exxon-Valdez spill will most likely happen again. The BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico was caused by human error. BP took shortcuts to cut costs while they drilled for oil. There were regulations in place to stop these kinds of accidents from happening again, but the regulations were ignored. Oil is too high of a commodity to stop being sought after now. Pessimistically, the oil spills will stop when oil is gone.
While it is impossible to predict whether or not another oil spill like the one in the Gulf of Mexico is imminent, there are steps that we can take to prevent another tragedy like this from occurring. As oil has made private companies and countries richer and richer, seemingly without any problems, those drilling for oil became complacent, and went further and further (and deeper and deeper) in search of black gold.
Since President Obama has been in office, he has commissioned a team to help determine the cause and effects of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. The group also came up with some recommendations to help decrease the chances of another disastrous oil spill, including: creating an independent safety agency withing the Department of the Interior, increased funding to oversee offshore drilling, and increasing the liability cap of $75 million that is currently in place for any company that has a spill.
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